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Scenario Testing
National Program for Sustainable Irrigation: Scenario Planning Tool
The National Program for Sustainable Irrigation (or NPSI) has developed a series of planning tools fo scenario planning (foresighting and the production of future scenarios) and assessing environmental impacts (via ecological risk assessments). Both approaches are described briefly in a report published as part of their Harvest program. The report provides examples of their application, and subsequent sections report on how both techniques have been applied to help shed
light on the future of irrigation in northern and southern Australia.
Simulation Tools: Mythic River Scenario
At the second National Water Planners Forum, Mark Hampstead and Claudia Baldwin introduced the 'Mystic River Scenario': an innovative role-play scenario designed to simulate a realistic context for consideration of key water planning issues including climate change and risk assessment. The information used to design the Mythic River scenario is derived from multiple CSIRO sustainability studies, and is presented using a similar strcuture, based on the assumption that this type of information on future inflows, land use changes and projected water demand will be similar to the type of information that planners do and will use in developing water management regimes.
